Description

This analysis provides a forecast of KAS prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.119604 0.132070 0.144844 0.158884 0.173854 0.189310 0.206447
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.097216 0.115656 0.135504 0.158333 0.183737 0.211017 0.242404
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.078985 0.100755 0.125270 0.154617 0.188487 0.226058 0.270585
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.070156 0.094964 0.123973 0.159840 0.202438 0.250876 0.309567
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.062557 0.089480 0.122064 0.163528 0.214009 0.272632 0.344991
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.055811 0.084146 0.119566 0.165841 0.223446 0.291593 0.377065
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.049526 0.078647 0.116206 0.166515 0.230448 0.307371 0.405251
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.048450 0.079883 0.121345 0.177858 0.250705 0.339368 0.453287
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.044254 0.076357 0.119850 0.180358 0.259649 0.357432 0.484456
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.040995 0.073815 0.119397 0.184002 0.269918 0.377112 0.517708
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.036878 0.069605 0.116300 0.183815 0.275007 0.390171 0.542732
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.035616 0.069577 0.118987 0.191444 0.290382 0.416385 0.584451
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.034320 0.069579 0.121953 0.199907 0.307562 0.445863 0.631631
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.030933 0.065936 0.119390 0.200516 0.314204 0.461891 0.662047
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.026764 0.060560 0.113874 0.196617 0.314507 0.469567 0.681807
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.025439 0.059918 0.115489 0.202995 0.329002 0.496051 0.726128
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.023799 0.058540 0.115831 0.207434 0.340805 0.519062 0.766151
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 0.021960 0.056596 0.115121 0.210199 0.350215 0.538923 0.802204
2025-04-13 00:00:00+00:00 0.019916 0.054031 0.113214 0.211007 0.356762 0.554922 0.833264
2025-04-20 00:00:00+00:00 0.020348 0.056342 0.119438 0.224388 0.381536 0.595901 0.897781
2025-04-27 00:00:00+00:00 0.018893 0.054719 0.118955 0.227333 0.391228 0.616393 0.935218
2025-05-04 00:00:00+00:00 0.017779 0.053671 0.119362 0.231619 0.402882 0.639647 0.976513
2025-05-11 00:00:00+00:00 0.016052 0.051120 0.117002 0.231400 0.407845 0.653667 1.005479